Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Spaling 49.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 52.3%
Defensive zone
Jooris 52.2%
Neutral zone
Jooris 51.4%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Jooris
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jooris
Spaling
Last 6: Jooris 3-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Jooris
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
43.4% (53)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
48.0% (498)
-8.6%
On power play, Jooris has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Jooris
Spaling
Home
49.0% (786)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
46.4% (651)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Jooris
Spaling
P1
47.5%
49.8%
P2
44.3%
48.3%
P3
51.3%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |