Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 77.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Jooris
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Jooris
Zacha
Last 6: Jooris 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
0
Jooris
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
0
Jooris
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
48.9% (5,102)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
55.6% (804)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
42.2% (555)
-2.8%
On power play, Jooris has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Jooris
Zacha
Home
49.0% (786)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
46.4% (651)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Jooris
Zacha
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
44.3%
49.2%
P3
51.3%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
53.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |