Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jooris wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 47.5% vs Dubois 44.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 71.3%
Defensive zone
Jooris 73.0%
Neutral zone
Jooris 61.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Jooris
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jooris
Dubois
Last 7: Jooris 4-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Jooris
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
0
Jooris
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (149)
43.1% (936)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.0% (104)
+49.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
41.7% (12)
+4.5%
On power play, Jooris has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Jooris is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Jooris shoots right. Dubois is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Jooris
Dubois
Home
44.2% (86)
46.2% (500)
Away
48.1% (77)
41.7% (552)
By Period
Jooris
Dubois
P1
47.4%
46.6%
P2
37.5%
38.5%
P3
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |