Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 83.4%
Defensive zone
Jooris 79.9%
Neutral zone
Jooris 81.1%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Jooris
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Jooris
O'Reilly
Last 9: Jooris 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Jooris
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.6%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
58.8% (3,445)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
51.4% (2,811)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Jooris
O'Reilly
Home
49.0% (786)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.4% (651)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Jooris
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
55.6%
P2
44.3%
57.0%
P3
51.3%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |