Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Matthias 46.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 51.7%
Defensive zone
Jooris 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jooris 55.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Jooris
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jooris
Matthias
Last 7: Jooris 4-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
46.4% (1,716)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
56.3% (103)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
41.7% (175)
-2.3%
On power play, Jooris has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Jooris
Matthias
Home
49.0% (786)
46.9% (933)
Away
46.4% (651)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Jooris
Matthias
P1
47.5%
47.8%
P2
44.3%
49.4%
P3
51.3%
41.6%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |