Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jooris wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.9% vs Matthias 46.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 58.4%
Defensive zone
Jooris 51.4%
Neutral zone
Jooris 61.9%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Jooris
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jooris
Matthias
Last 7: Jooris 4-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jooris
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
1
Jooris
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (488)
47.2% (142)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
100.0% (2)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (47)
34.9% (43)
+11.9%
On power play, Matthias has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Jooris is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Jooris shoots right. Matthias is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Jooris
Matthias
Home
52.1% (330)
45.6% (57)
Away
43.9% (237)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Jooris
Matthias
P1
45.1%
54.3%
P2
48.1%
40.0%
P3
51.9%
40.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |