Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.8%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Norris 53.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 68.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 54.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Lundell
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lundell
Norris
Last 7: Lundell 2-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Lundell
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Lundell
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
53.6% (560)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
56.0% (109)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
53.1% (98)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Lundell
Norris
Home
51.2% (527)
53.6% (373)
Away
54.8% (496)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Lundell
Norris
P1
53.7%
61.8%
P2
51.7%
51.7%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
20.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |