Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Norris 51.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 89.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 79.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Richardson
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Richardson
Norris
Last 7: Richardson 6-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Norris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
51.2% (886)
+8.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
59.0% (83)
+41.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
38.8% (67)
-7.5%
On power play, Richardson has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Richardson
Norris
Home
60.2% (88)
55.6% (487)
Away
57.0% (151)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Richardson
Norris
P1
63.8%
54.8%
P2
59.1%
51.3%
P3
50.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |