Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Norris 52.1% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 61.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.5%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Thorburn
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
52.5% (3,057)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
53.7% (404)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
45.4% (240)
-2.5%
On power play, Norris has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Norris
Home
55.7% (305)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
51.3% (308)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Thorburn
Norris
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
55.1%
51.4%
P3
51.1%
50.1%
OT
20.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%