Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Norris 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 83.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 72.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 73.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Pettersson
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Pettersson
Norris
Last 7: Pettersson 1-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Pettersson
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
3
Pettersson
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
53.6% (560)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
56.0% (109)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
53.1% (98)
-1.2%
On even strength, Norris has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Norris
Home
48.1% (489)
53.6% (373)
Away
46.9% (475)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Pettersson
Norris
P1
47.4%
61.8%
P2
48.3%
51.7%
P3
46.6%
49.8%
OT
55.6%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |