Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 75.5%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 73.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Norris
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Norris
Dellandrea
Last 9: Norris 4-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Dellandrea
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Norris
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
50.5% (1,108)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
59.4% (32)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
43.4% (318)
+2.0%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Norris
Dellandrea
Home
53.1% (1,856)
49.4% (741)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Norris
Dellandrea
P1
55.6%
49.7%
P2
51.4%
48.6%
P3
50.1%
49.4%
OT
40.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Josh Norris |