Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lammikko wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 46.3% vs Dowling 50.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 62.0%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Lammikko
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lammikko
Dowling
Last 8: Lammikko 3-5 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
2
Lammikko
Dowling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
3
Lammikko
Dowling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (253)
52.4% (82)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On power play, Lammikko has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Lammikko is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Lammikko shoots left. Dowling is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Dowling
Home
48.9% (133)
51.1% (47)
Away
41.3% (143)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Lammikko
Dowling
P1
48.3%
50.0%
P2
41.9%
50.0%
P3
44.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.9%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |