Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Lammikko wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 67.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.0%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 55.9%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Lammikko
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lammikko
Carrick
Last 5: Lammikko 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lammikko
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lammikko
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
61.3% (75)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
50.7% (430)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lammikko is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (466).
Lammikko shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Carrick
Home
48.0% (690)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
47.5% (724)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Lammikko
Carrick
P1
48.7%
51.8%
P2
47.6%
52.2%
P3
46.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |