Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 47.9% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 72.6%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 57.8%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Lammikko
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lammikko
Steel
Last 7: Lammikko 2-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Lammikko
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Lammikko
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,252)
50.6% (2,876)
-2.0%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
62.6% (179)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (135)
37.4% (254)
-0.4%
On power play, Steel has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Lammikko shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Lammikko
Steel
Home
48.0% (690)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.5% (724)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Lammikko
Steel
P1
48.7%
51.9%
P2
47.6%
49.5%
P3
46.9%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sam Steel |