Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Khaira wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.2% vs Backlund 51.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 78.8%
Defensive zone
Khaira 51.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Khaira
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Khaira
Backlund
Last 7: Khaira 4-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Khaira
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
3
0
Khaira
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
1
0
Khaira
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (316)
53.2% (602)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.1% (66)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (60)
39.0% (77)
-5.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Khaira is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Khaira shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Khaira
Backlund
Home
46.5% (170)
51.5% (400)
Away
44.2% (208)
52.5% (345)
By Period
Khaira
Backlund
P1
53.7%
50.0%
P2
44.6%
56.4%
P3
37.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.2%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |