Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Khaira wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.7% vs Geekie 48.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 61.5%
Defensive zone
Khaira 69.7%
Neutral zone
Khaira 57.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Khaira
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Khaira
Geekie
Last 6: Khaira 2-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Khaira
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Khaira
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (1,154)
48.8% (2,307)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.9% (48)
45.7% (188)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (192)
45.7% (129)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Khaira is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Khaira shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Khaira
Geekie
Home
47.6% (668)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
45.5% (726)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Khaira
Geekie
P1
48.5%
48.6%
P2
44.9%
48.8%
P3
46.1%
47.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |