Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Khaira wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.2% vs Paul 51.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 81.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 74.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 67.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Khaira
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Khaira
Paul
Last 6: Khaira 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
1
0
Khaira
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
2
1
Khaira
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Khaira
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (316)
56.2% (274)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
52.9% (17)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (60)
43.4% (129)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Khaira is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Khaira shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Khaira
Paul
Home
46.5% (170)
52.3% (235)
Away
44.2% (208)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Khaira
Paul
P1
53.7%
53.2%
P2
44.6%
53.8%
P3
37.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |