Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 57.9%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Jokinen 56.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.4%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kelly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kelly
Jokinen
Last 9: Kelly 3-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
4
Kelly
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Kelly
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
60.3% (325)
-1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
46.3% (54)
+53.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
54.7% (53)
-5.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Jokinen is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jokinen
Home
60.0% (200)
60.7% (191)
Away
55.5% (173)
55.6% (241)
By Period
Kelly
Jokinen
P1
55.9%
57.8%
P2
58.4%
59.4%
P3
60.9%
56.7%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |