Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Jokinen 56.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 54.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 65.3%
Neutral zone
Smithson 51.5%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Smithson
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Smithson
Jokinen
Last 6: Smithson 1-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
4
Smithson
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
60.3% (325)
-4.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
46.3% (54)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
54.7% (53)
-1.2%
On power play, Smithson has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Jokinen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Smithson
Jokinen
Home
55.4% (249)
60.7% (191)
Away
55.5% (229)
55.6% (241)
By Period
Smithson
Jokinen
P1
55.8%
57.8%
P2
52.6%
59.4%
P3
56.6%
56.7%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |