Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.2%). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Jokinen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jokinen
Duchene
Last 5: Jokinen 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Jokinen
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
54.0% (10,249)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
56.9% (1,620)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
49.3% (467)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Duchene
Home
57.8% (1,369)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
Jokinen
Duchene
P1
53.4%
54.5%
P2
54.4%
54.5%
P3
53.7%
53.4%
OT
66.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |