Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Stajan 49.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 82.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 55.6%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Jokinen
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Jokinen
Stajan
Last 10: Jokinen 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
2
Jokinen
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
5
Jokinen
Stajan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
0
Jokinen
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
43.2% (176)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
46.1% (864)
+8.4%
On power play, Jokinen has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stajan
Home
57.8% (1,369)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Jokinen
Stajan
P1
53.4%
50.3%
P2
54.4%
48.5%
P3
53.7%
49.4%
OT
66.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |