Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 50.3% vs Chaput 49.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 76.8%
Defensive zone
Chaput 68.0%
Neutral zone
Chaput 53.6%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Jokinen
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jokinen
Chaput
Last 7: Jokinen 3-4 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
4
Jokinen
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (168)
48.4% (273)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.7% (56)
50.0% (2)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
52.6% (19)
-6.4%
On power play, Jokinen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Jokinen is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Jokinen shoots left. Chaput is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Chaput
Home
56.1% (123)
47.0% (132)
Away
44.9% (127)
50.0% (162)
By Period
Jokinen
Chaput
P1
53.1%
41.8%
P2
51.2%
54.4%
P3
47.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |