Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 71.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Jokinen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Jokinen
Thompson
Last 10: Jokinen 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
3
Jokinen
Thompson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
8
Jokinen
Thompson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
8
3
Jokinen
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
54.8% (135)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
47.9% (1,381)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Thompson
Home
57.8% (1,369)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Jokinen
Thompson
P1
53.4%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
52.9%
P3
53.7%
52.8%
OT
66.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |