Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Berglund 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 62.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 62.3%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Jokinen
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Berglund
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Jokinen
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Jokinen
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
48.3% (895)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
50.4% (141)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
48.3% (120)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jokinen shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Berglund
Home
58.0% (414)
50.9% (593)
Away
52.4% (418)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Jokinen
Berglund
P1
52.8%
50.9%
P2
53.9%
45.3%
P3
57.5%
50.8%
OT
84.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |