Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 52.1% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 58.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 83.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Jokinen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
Last 7: Jokinen 5-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (196)
58.6% (790)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
66.7% (93)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (42)
61.0% (269)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Jokinen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (221).
Jokinen shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gaustad
Home
56.8% (169)
60.6% (554)
Away
48.3% (151)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Jokinen
Gaustad
P1
52.6%
61.3%
P2
60.6%
55.5%
P3
45.0%
62.3%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
52.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |