Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 52.6% vs Stastny 53.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 64.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 56.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 59.2%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Jokinen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jokinen
Stastny
Last 8: Jokinen 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Jokinen
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Jokinen
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Jokinen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (267)
53.2% (995)
-1.1%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
57.6% (158)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
61.4% (57)
-11.4%
On power play, Jokinen has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jokinen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Jokinen shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stastny
Home
60.0% (175)
55.1% (586)
Away
44.4% (124)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Jokinen
Stastny
P1
49.4%
54.7%
P2
56.6%
53.1%
P3
54.3%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
53.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |