Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Peverley 57.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 70.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 73.4%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Jokinen
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jokinen
Peverley
Last 7: Jokinen 2-5 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Jokinen
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
2
Jokinen
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
58.0% (1,715)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
57.0% (391)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
59.2% (333)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Peverley
Home
57.8% (1,369)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Jokinen
Peverley
P1
53.4%
59.6%
P2
54.4%
57.8%
P3
53.7%
57.0%
OT
66.1%
51.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |