Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 52.8%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 66.4%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 57.8%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Jokinen
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jokinen
Horcoff
Last 8: Jokinen 3-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Jokinen
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Jokinen
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
50.6% (3,133)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
51.4% (555)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
43.0% (567)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Horcoff
Home
57.8% (1,369)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Jokinen
Horcoff
P1
53.4%
48.2%
P2
54.4%
49.5%
P3
53.7%
50.9%
OT
66.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |