Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 62.3%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 61.9%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 57.8%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Jokinen
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Horcoff
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Jokinen
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Jokinen
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
49.9% (976)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
49.4% (241)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
46.8% (233)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jokinen shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Horcoff
Home
58.0% (414)
52.1% (755)
Away
52.4% (418)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Jokinen
Horcoff
P1
52.8%
49.3%
P2
53.9%
47.9%
P3
57.5%
50.7%
OT
84.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |