Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 74.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 55.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Jokinen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Jokinen
Crosby
Last 10: Jokinen 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jokinen
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Jokinen
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
6
0
Jokinen
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
47.1% (765)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Crosby
Home
57.8% (1,369)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Jokinen
Crosby
P1
53.4%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
53.7%
53.3%
OT
66.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |