Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.7%). Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 51.1% vs Crosby 51.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 70.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 68.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Jokinen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Jokinen
Crosby
Last 7: Jokinen 7-0 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
0
Jokinen
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (72)
51.9% (1,456)
-11.6%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
52.8% (392)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (58)
39.0% (59)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jokinen is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Jokinen shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Crosby
Home
58.7% (150)
52.4% (976)
Away
42.0% (112)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Jokinen
Crosby
P1
53.0%
51.6%
P2
46.2%
53.1%
P3
50.6%
51.0%
OT
77.8%
40.5%
Final 5 min
63.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
51.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |