Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 56.4% vs Ott 54.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 64.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 53.3%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jokinen
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Ott
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
3
Jokinen
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Jokinen
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (325)
54.8% (305)
+5.5%
Power Play
46.3% (54)
56.8% (95)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (53)
57.0% (135)
-2.3%
On power play, Ott has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Jokinen is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Jokinen shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Ott
Home
60.7% (191)
58.7% (271)
Away
55.6% (241)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Jokinen
Ott
P1
57.8%
60.4%
P2
59.4%
54.0%
P3
56.7%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Steve Ott |