Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stapleton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Stapleton 47.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 56.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 50.4%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 55.4%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Jokinen
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jokinen
Stapleton
Last 7: Jokinen 3-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
2
Jokinen
Stapleton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Stapleton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
2
Jokinen
Stapleton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
45.6% (421)
+8.2%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
72.7% (11)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
50.0% (6)
+4.5%
On power play, Stapleton has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Stapleton is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stapleton
Home
57.8% (1,369)
47.3% (222)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Jokinen
Stapleton
P1
53.4%
56.5%
P2
54.4%
42.4%
P3
53.7%
42.3%
OT
66.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |