Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stapleton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 52.1% vs Stapleton 48.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 56.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 52.0%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 56.9%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Jokinen
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jokinen
Stapleton
Last 5: Jokinen 2-3 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
2
Jokinen
Stapleton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Stapleton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (196)
47.2% (214)
+6.9%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
75.0% (8)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (42)
66.7% (3)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Jokinen is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Jokinen shoots left. Stapleton is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stapleton
Home
56.8% (169)
49.6% (115)
Away
48.3% (151)
47.3% (110)
By Period
Jokinen
Stapleton
P1
52.6%
54.1%
P2
60.6%
46.3%
P3
45.0%
45.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
52.8%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |