Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 57.4%). Jokinen wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 56.4% vs Zajac 56.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 53.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 61.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 60.9%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Jokinen
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Zajac
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Jokinen
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (325)
56.6% (641)
+3.7%
Power Play
46.3% (54)
64.9% (148)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (53)
51.1% (92)
+3.6%
On power play, Zajac has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Jokinen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Jokinen shoots left. Zajac is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Zajac
Home
60.7% (191)
57.2% (444)
Away
55.6% (241)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Jokinen
Zajac
P1
57.8%
54.4%
P2
59.4%
61.5%
P3
56.7%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |