Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 51.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.4%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
20
(41 meetings)
21
20
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 10: Jokinen 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Jokinen
Bozak
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
8
4
Jokinen
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
6
Jokinen
Bozak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
48.0% (1,094)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
57.8% (1,369)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
53.4%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
53.7%
54.5%
OT
66.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |