Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 50.3% vs Bozak 53.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 57.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 82.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 72.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 8: Jokinen 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
1
Jokinen
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
1
Jokinen
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (168)
53.8% (1,244)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.7% (56)
53.1% (356)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
49.1% (175)
-2.9%
On power play, Jokinen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
56.1% (123)
57.7% (892)
Away
44.9% (127)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
53.1%
54.0%
P2
51.2%
54.4%
P3
47.3%
51.0%
OT
54.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |