Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 53.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 75.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Jokinen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Jokinen
Smith
Last 10: Jokinen 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
9
7
Jokinen
Smith
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
9
Jokinen
Smith
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
3
Jokinen
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
51.2% (342)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
45.3% (985)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Smith
Home
57.8% (1,369)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Jokinen
Smith
P1
53.4%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
53.7%
51.9%
OT
66.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |