Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 56.4% vs Smith 51.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Jokinen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Jokinen
Smith
Last 9: Jokinen 4-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Jokinen
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Jokinen
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
1
Jokinen
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (325)
52.6% (635)
+7.7%
Power Play
46.3% (54)
45.5% (44)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (53)
48.1% (52)
+6.6%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jokinen is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Smith
Home
60.7% (191)
53.4% (371)
Away
55.6% (241)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Jokinen
Smith
P1
57.8%
50.2%
P2
59.4%
52.2%
P3
56.7%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
57.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 7, 2013 | OT | 01:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |