Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.7%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 52.6% vs Smith 52.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 70.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.9%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Jokinen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Jokinen
Smith
Last 10: Jokinen 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
2
Jokinen
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Jokinen
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (267)
53.0% (1,048)
-0.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
57.4% (47)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (196)
+0.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jokinen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Smith
Home
60.0% (175)
53.9% (629)
Away
44.4% (124)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Jokinen
Smith
P1
49.4%
50.4%
P2
56.6%
51.8%
P3
54.3%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
53.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |