Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Wilson 48.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 51.8%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 53.7%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 51.7%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Abdelkader
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Abdelkader
Wilson
Last 6: Abdelkader 3-3 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abdelkader
Wilson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
0
Abdelkader
Wilson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
2
Abdelkader
Wilson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
48.7% (115)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
100.0% (2)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
26.7% (15)
+29.8%
On power play, Wilson has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Abdelkader is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Abdelkader shoots left. Wilson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Wilson
Home
56.9% (204)
43.3% (67)
Away
49.1% (226)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Abdelkader
Wilson
P1
48.4%
42.9%
P2
52.2%
51.9%
P3
59.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Wilson
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Kyle Wilson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Kyle Wilson |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |