Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Eller 43.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 82.4%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 71.9%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 81.2%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Abdelkader
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Abdelkader
Eller
Last 6: Abdelkader 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Abdelkader
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
4
1
Abdelkader
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
43.0% (402)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
16.7% (12)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
66.7% (6)
-10.2%
On power play, Abdelkader has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Eller is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Eller
Home
56.9% (204)
44.6% (184)
Away
49.1% (226)
40.9% (247)
By Period
Abdelkader
Eller
P1
48.4%
45.3%
P2
52.2%
41.5%
P3
59.5%
39.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |