Justin Abdelkader vs Mikael Backlund
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Backlund 48.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Abdelkader
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Abdelkader
Backlund
Last 7: Abdelkader 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Abdelkader
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Abdelkader
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
48.9% (568)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.3% (44)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
32.7% (49)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Backlund
Home
56.9% (204)
50.8% (327)
Away
49.1% (226)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Abdelkader
Backlund
P1
48.4%
53.0%
P2
52.2%
47.8%
P3
59.5%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |