Justin Abdelkader vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 93.4%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 71.5%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 71.7%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Abdelkader
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Abdelkader
Gaustad
Last 10: Abdelkader 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
1
Abdelkader
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
9
Abdelkader
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Abdelkader
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
65.4% (188)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Gaustad
Home
54.5% (642)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.7% (735)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Abdelkader
Gaustad
P1
49.5%
58.2%
P2
51.9%
56.4%
P3
53.3%
58.3%
OT
38.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |