Justin Abdelkader vs Paul Stastny
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.1%). Look for Abdelkader on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Stastny 53.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.9%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 51.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Abdelkader
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Abdelkader
Stastny
Last 5: Abdelkader 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
1
0
Abdelkader
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
1
Abdelkader
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
52.2% (1,107)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.0% (254)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
46.4% (138)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Stastny
Home
56.9% (204)
52.5% (785)
Away
49.1% (226)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Abdelkader
Stastny
P1
48.4%
51.3%
P2
52.2%
55.2%
P3
59.5%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |