Justin Abdelkader vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 75.7%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 56.4%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 66.3%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Abdelkader
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Abdelkader
Kesler
Last 8: Abdelkader 3-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Abdelkader
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
1
Abdelkader
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Abdelkader
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
50.5% (1,908)
+1.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Abdelkader is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Abdelkader shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Kesler
Home
54.5% (642)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.7% (735)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Abdelkader
Kesler
P1
49.5%
56.5%
P2
51.9%
55.9%
P3
53.3%
56.1%
OT
38.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Apr 20, 2013 | OT | 04:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |