Scouting Report
Justin Abdelkader holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Sestito 47.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sestito 54.6%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 51.0%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Abdelkader
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Abdelkader
Sestito
Last 6: Abdelkader 3-3 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abdelkader
Sestito
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
1
Abdelkader
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Abdelkader
Sestito
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
45.7% (230)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.5% (8)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
33.3% (12)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Sestito is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Sestito
Home
56.9% (204)
46.5% (142)
Away
49.1% (226)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Abdelkader
Sestito
P1
48.4%
43.9%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
59.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |