Justin Dowling vs Vincent Trocheck

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 48.9% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Dowling 80.5%
Defensive zone Dowling 80.2%
Neutral zone Dowling 78.8%
Result Justin Dowling favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Dowling Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Dowling Trocheck
Last 9: Dowling 2-7 Trocheck

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowling Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowling Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Dowling Trocheck
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
53.7% (10,904)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
60.8% (1,856)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
49.6% (1,461)
-16.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +20.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Dowling
Trocheck
Home
48.2% (301)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
49.2% (392)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Dowling
Trocheck
P1
47.6%
54.1%
P2
50.4%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
48.8%
Trocheck
60.0%
57.0%
54.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2025 2 00:49 Defensive Justin Dowling
Jan 9, 2025 3 08:54 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 9, 2025 2 15:40 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 9, 2025 2 04:03 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2024 3 15:54 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 2, 2024 1 15:48 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Apr 27, 2021 3 07:25 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Apr 26, 2021 1 02:05 Offensive Justin Dowling
Apr 4, 2021 1 03:08 Defensive Vincent Trocheck