Justin Dowling vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 80.5%
Defensive zone
Dowling 80.2%
Neutral zone
Dowling 78.8%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Dowling
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dowling
Trocheck
Last 9: Dowling 2-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowling
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Dowling
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Dowling
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
53.7% (10,904)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
60.8% (1,856)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
49.6% (1,461)
-16.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Dowling
Trocheck
Home
48.2% (301)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
49.2% (392)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Dowling
Trocheck
P1
47.6%
54.1%
P2
50.4%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |