Scouting Report
Justin Hodgman holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgman on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pirri wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 49.5% vs Hodgman 51.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pirri 63.5%
Neutral zone
Pirri 61.2%
Result
Brandon Pirri favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Pirri
Hodgman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Pirri
Hodgman
Last 9: Pirri 3-6 Hodgman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgman
1
4
Pirri
Hodgman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Hodgman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Hodgman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Hodgman
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
52.3% (44)
-2.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
100.0% (2)
-70.0%
On power play, Hodgman has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgman shoots right. Pirri is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Pirri shoots left. Hodgman is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Pirri
Hodgman
Home
51.1% (94)
59.1% (22)
Away
46.9% (81)
50.0% (24)
By Period
Pirri
Hodgman
P1
40.5%
80.0%
P2
47.6%
33.3%
P3
57.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
38.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
49.1%
Hodgman
54.3%▬
54.3%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |