Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Hryckowian wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rupp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 55.0% vs Rupp 51.2% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Rupp 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 52.8%
Neutral zone
Rupp 50.6%
Result
Mike Rupp favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Hryckowian
Rupp
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (222)
52.4% (187)
+7.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
48.6% (35)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (28)
33.3% (3)
-1.2%
On power play, Hryckowian has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Hryckowian is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Hryckowian shoots left. Rupp is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Rupp
Home
59.0% (139)
45.7% (127)
Away
54.6% (119)
59.6% (99)
By Period
Hryckowian
Rupp
P1
48.6%
44.8%
P2
67.0%
59.8%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
54.0%▼
56.5%
57.0%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%